Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000765 0.000873 0.000989 0.001119 0.001263 0.001416 0.001591
2024-12-29 0.000584 0.000733 0.000901 0.001104 0.001342 0.001610 0.001932
2025-01-05 0.000496 0.000662 0.000859 0.001107 0.001408 0.001758 0.002193
2025-01-12 0.000420 0.000594 0.000810 0.001093 0.001447 0.001871 0.002411
2025-01-19 0.000358 0.000536 0.000764 0.001072 0.001470 0.001959 0.002596
2025-01-26 0.000325 0.000509 0.000755 0.001095 0.001546 0.002111 0.002861
2025-02-02 0.000296 0.000485 0.000744 0.001113 0.001613 0.002252 0.003114
2025-02-09 0.000259 0.000445 0.000709 0.001095 0.001630 0.002326 0.003281
2025-02-16 0.000226 0.000407 0.000673 0.001073 0.001638 0.002387 0.003431
2025-02-23 0.000207 0.000389 0.000664 0.001085 0.001693 0.002510 0.003663
2025-03-02 0.000189 0.000371 0.000652 0.001093 0.001739 0.002621 0.003882
2025-03-09 0.000164 0.000338 0.000616 0.001063 0.001731 0.002657 0.003998
2025-03-16 0.000142 0.000308 0.000582 0.001033 0.001721 0.002691 0.004114
2025-03-23 0.000128 0.000290 0.000565 0.001030 0.001751 0.002780 0.004308
2025-03-30 0.000115 0.000274 0.000551 0.001029 0.001782 0.002872 0.004507
2025-04-06 0.000102 0.000255 0.000531 0.001016 0.001795 0.002937 0.004669
2025-04-13 0.000090 0.000236 0.000507 0.000996 0.001795 0.002983 0.004802
2025-04-20 0.000085 0.000231 0.000509 0.001018 0.001861 0.003126 0.005078
2025-04-27 0.000079 0.000224 0.000508 0.001036 0.001920 0.003259 0.005342
2025-05-04 0.000070 0.000209 0.000487 0.001018 0.001922 0.003306 0.005482
2025-05-11 0.000061 0.000193 0.000466 0.000997 0.001916 0.003342 0.005603
2025-05-18 0.000057 0.000187 0.000463 0.001009 0.001965 0.003461 0.005851
2025-05-25 0.000052 0.000180 0.000457 0.001016 0.002005 0.003568 0.006082